Serie B | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
1 - 2
Parma

Castagnetti (64')
Vazquez (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernani (54'), Man (66')
Mihaila (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cremonese and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Cremonese
Tuesday, September 26 at 5.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 2-1 Bari
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Parma
42.67% ( -0.25)	25.89% ( 0.1)	31.43% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 53.46% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

-0.37)

50.66% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43% (

-0.32)

72.56% (

0.32)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-0.28)

23.58% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

-0.41)

57.64% (

0.4)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.08)

30.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.1)

66.17% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 42.67%

Parma 31.43%

Draw 25.88%

Cremonese	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.67%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.43%