Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Livorno win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spezia Calcio in this match.