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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
2 - 0
Kayserispor

Frei (16', 28')
Bertolacci (57'), Dresevic (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cardoso (82'), Mensah (86')
Ackah (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-1 Karagumruk
Monday, May 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 0-4 Alanyaspor
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Kayserispor

Karagumruk and Kayserispor have struggled for results of late and will set out in search of a morale-boasting result as they look to end the season on a high. Erdem's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture and should be able to make use of their home advantage once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 54.99%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
54.99% (1.62 1.62) 20.58% (-0.595 -0.59) 24.42% (-1.025 -1.03)
Both teams to score 66.56% (1.072 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.95% (1.88 1.88)31.05% (-1.882 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.56% (2.197 2.2)52.44% (-2.2 -2.2)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.48% (1.081 1.08)11.52% (-1.083 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.59% (2.292 2.29)36.41% (-2.294 -2.29)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.29600000000001 0.3)24.78% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (0.414 0.41)59.34% (-0.417 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 54.99%
    Kayserispor 24.42%
    Draw 20.58%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKayserispor
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.68% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.62% (0.268 0.27)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.207 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.176 0.18)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.106 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.118 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.99%
1-1 @ 8.6% (-0.449 -0.45)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 6% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.389 -0.39)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.246 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.42%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kayserispor

Fatih Karagumruk
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Kayserispor
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 2pm
gameweek 17
Kayserispor
2-4
Karagumruk
Mensah (57' pen.), Parlak (72')
Mercan (1'), Diagne (12', 63'), Shukurov (47')
Shukurov (52')
Mar 18, 2022 5pm
gameweek 30
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Mor (10', 36', 75')
Biglia (47'), Bekaroglu (69')

Hosseini (56'), Pektemek (81'), Bertolacci (88')
Oct 31, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 11
Kayserispor
2-1
Karagumruk
Gavranovic (73'), Thiam (90+3')
Bulut (76'), Kemen (86')
Bulut (88')
Bertolacci (23')
Biglia (14'), Viviano (29'), Borini (49')
Luckassen (61')
Mar 19, 2021 1pm
gameweek 31
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Durmaz (33'), Castro (58'), Sobiech (86')
Balkovec (47'), Salibur (54')

Avramovski (28')
Nov 30, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
13SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor153752322116
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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