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Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
St Gallen

Lugano
1 - 0
St Gallen

Celar (70')
Valenzuela (28'), Hajdari (71'), Bottani (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Quintilla (16'), Zanotti (52'), Diaby (75'), van der Venne (89'), Karlen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and St Gallen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-3 Lugano
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 2-1 Basel
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Lugano 2-2 St Gallen

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting goals on Saturday. Both sides were impressive in their campaign openers last time out, but they might be forced to settle for a share of the spoils at Cornaredo Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
34.06% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38) 23.02% (0.004999999999999 0) 42.92% (0.377 0.38)
Both teams to score 64.57% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.43% (-0.134 -0.13)36.57% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.27% (-0.147 -0.15)58.72% (0.147 0.15)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-0.264 -0.26)21.66% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-0.406 -0.41)54.8% (0.406 0.41)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (0.10000000000001 0.1)17.56% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88% (0.17299999999999 0.17)48.11% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 34.06%
    St Gallen 42.92%
    Draw 23.02%
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.06%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 42.92%

How you voted: Lugano vs St Gallen

Lugano
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
St Gallen
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
St Gallen
1-2
Lugano
Witzig (19')
Apr 10, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 27
Lugano
1-1
St Gallen
Steffen (22')
Akolo (90+5' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 1.15pm
Gameweek 11
St Gallen
1-1
Lugano
Akolo (9')
Celar (83')
Aug 28, 2022 1.15pm
Gameweek 6
Lugano
2-3
St Gallen
Celar (6' pen.), Babic (65')
Mahmoud (33'), Ziegler (57')
Guillemenot (29'), Witzig (45+2'), Gortler (59' pen.)
Sutter (5'), Guindo (79'), Vallci (90+3')
Apr 24, 2022 1.15pm
Gameweek 31
St Gallen
3-0
Lugano
Gortler (19' pen.), Vonmoos (32'), Schubert (34')
Guillemenot (14'), Fazliji (26')

Yuri (61'), Custodio (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich137422114725
2LuganoLugano137422013725
3Servette137332220224
4Basel1371531141722
5Luzern136432418622
6Lausanne SportLausanne136252219320
7St GallenSt Gallen134542318517
8Yverdon Sport134361421-715
9Sion133551416-214
10Young Boys133461622-613
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper132381222-109
12FC WinterthurWinterthur13229931-228


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