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Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
St Gallen

Lugano
1 - 0
St Gallen

Celar (70')
Valenzuela (28'), Hajdari (71'), Bottani (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Quintilla (16'), Zanotti (52'), Diaby (75'), van der Venne (89'), Karlen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and St Gallen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-3 Lugano
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 2-1 Basel
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Lugano 2-2 St Gallen

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting goals on Saturday. Both sides were impressive in their campaign openers last time out, but they might be forced to settle for a share of the spoils at Cornaredo Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
34.06% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38) 23.02% (0.004999999999999 0) 42.92% (0.377 0.38)
Both teams to score 64.57% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.43% (-0.134 -0.13)36.57% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.27% (-0.147 -0.15)58.72% (0.147 0.15)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-0.264 -0.26)21.66% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-0.406 -0.41)54.8% (0.406 0.41)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (0.10000000000001 0.1)17.56% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88% (0.17299999999999 0.17)48.11% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 34.06%
    St Gallen 42.92%
    Draw 23.02%
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.06%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 42.92%

How you voted: Lugano vs St Gallen

Lugano
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
St Gallen
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
St Gallen
1-2
Lugano
Witzig (19')
Apr 10, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 27
Lugano
1-1
St Gallen
Steffen (22')
Akolo (90+5' pen.)
Oct 16, 2022 1.15pm
Gameweek 11
St Gallen
1-1
Lugano
Akolo (9')
Celar (83')
Aug 28, 2022 1.15pm
Gameweek 6
Lugano
2-3
St Gallen
Celar (6' pen.), Babic (65')
Mahmoud (33'), Ziegler (57')
Guillemenot (29'), Witzig (45+2'), Gortler (59' pen.)
Sutter (5'), Guindo (79'), Vallci (90+3')
Apr 24, 2022 1.15pm
Gameweek 31
St Gallen
3-0
Lugano
Gortler (19' pen.), Vonmoos (32'), Schubert (34')
Guillemenot (14'), Fazliji (26')

Yuri (61'), Custodio (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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