Swiss Super League | Gameweek 33

May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

St Gallen
6 - 1
Basel

Guillemenot (22'), Gortler (24'), Quintilla (36'), Latte Lath (52', 63'), Geubbels (90+1')
Geubbels (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Zeqiri (54')
Millar (34'), Males (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between St Gallen and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Gallen

All competitions

Last Game: St Gallen 0-2 Young Boys
Saturday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Basel
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Basel had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	Basel
38.83% ( -0.76)	23.98% ( 0.17)	37.19% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 61.53% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.21% (

-0.78)

40.79% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.82% (

-0.81)

63.17% (

0.8)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.85% (

-0.7)

21.15% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.99% (

-1.1)

54.01% (

1.1)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03% (

-0.05)

21.97% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.74% (

-0.08)

55.26% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 38.83%

Basel 37.19%

Draw 23.97%

St Gallen	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.83%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.19%