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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 1
Jul 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Olympique de la Pontaise
Lugano

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 - 3
Lugano


Akichi (40'), Ali Mohamed (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Steffen (9'), Celar (48'), El Amine Amoura (63')
Mahmoud (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Swiss Super League clash between Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Zurich 2-3 Lugano
Monday, May 29 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1-1 Lugano

Although Lugano clearly possess far greater individual quality than their newly-promoted opponents, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's fans and players alike will be keen to lay down a marker in their first ever Super League match. We can envisage them starting quickly, particularly if the atmosphere is as strong as expected, before the visitors get themselves back into the game. Sharing the spoils would not be regarded as a bad result for either team in their first game of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Stade Lausanne-OuchyDrawLugano
24.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 53.04% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)61.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4%64.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.1% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)42.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 24.73%
    Lugano 53.04%
    Draw 22.23%
Stade Lausanne-OuchyDrawLugano
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 24.73%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.77%
1-3 @ 6.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.86%
1-4 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.85%
1-5 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.04%

How you voted: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Lugano

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
43.5%
Draw
17.4%
Lugano
39.1%
23
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Basel1591538162228
2LuganoLugano158432516928
3FC Zurich157532319426
4Servette157442424025
5Luzern156542723423
6Lausanne SportLausanne157262320323
7St GallenSt Gallen155642519621
8Sion154561819-117
9Young Boys154561924-517
10Yverdon Sport154471525-1016
11FC WinterthurWinterthur153391132-2112
12Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper152491425-1110


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