MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:17:54| >> :60:97:97:
Casa Pia
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Braga

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Braga


Soares (4'), Clayton (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliveira (22')
Banza (47'), Ruiz (90'), Magalhaes (90+8')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Casa Pia and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, November 20 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Trofense
Saturday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawBraga
23.17% (1.249 1.25) 26.63% (0.717 0.72) 50.2% (-1.972 -1.97)
Both teams to score 45.35% (-0.54 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.73% (-1.437 -1.44)58.26% (1.43 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.1% (-1.14 -1.14)78.9% (1.133 1.13)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.42 0.42)40.85% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.375 0.38)77.42% (-0.38 -0.38)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (-1.475 -1.47)23.33% (1.467 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71% (-2.186 -2.19)57.29% (2.181 2.18)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 23.17%
    Braga 50.19%
    Draw 26.62%
Casa PiaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.547 0.55)
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.187 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.286 0.29)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.14% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 23.17%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.506 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 13.87% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 10.09% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.9% (-0.389 -0.39)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.19%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Braga

Casa Pia
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Braga
28.6%
7
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