Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 6, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
0 - 1
Casa Pia

Medeiros (45+8'), Tormena (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martins (23')
Brice Eteki (59'), Bolgado (72'), Cuca (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-1 Malmo
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, October 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Having kicked off their top-flight campaign on a fine note, Casa Pia find themselves in the upper echelons of the table and in the mix for a place in Europe. However, they face a significantly superior and more experienced Braga side who will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction following their Europa League exit. We predict an action-packed contest on Sunday with Braga coming out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
64.66% ( 0.46)	20.57% ( -0.21)	14.77% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.02% (

0.44)

45.99% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

0.41)

68.29% (

-0.41)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54% (

0.27)

13.47% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.53% (

0.55)

40.47% (

-0.54)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.64% (

-0.07)

43.37% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.4% (

-0.06)

79.6% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Braga 64.65%

Casa Pia 14.77%

Draw 20.57%

Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 64.65%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.57%	0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.77%