MX23RW : Friday, January 17 23:00:27| >> :60:55:55:
Braga
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Moreirense

Braga
2 - 1
Moreirense

Horta (15'), Lainez (88')
Castro (31'), Oliveira (68'), Ruiz (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Platiny (27')
Pasinato (69'), Amador (82')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Braga and Moreirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawMoreirense
55.67% (1.387 1.39) 22.98% (-0.055 -0.05) 21.35% (-1.333 -1.33)
Both teams to score 53.81% (-1.652 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (-1.317 -1.32)45.95% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (-1.261 -1.26)68.26% (1.26 1.26)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.34% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (0.027999999999999 0.03)45.94% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-1.988 -1.99)35.67% (1.987 1.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-2.107 -2.11)72.45% (2.106 2.11)
Score Analysis
    Braga 55.67%
    Moreirense 21.35%
    Draw 22.98%
BragaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.584 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.534 0.53)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.325 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 55.67%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Braga vs Moreirense

Braga
58.3%
Draw
33.3%
Moreirense
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2022 6pm
Braga
2-0
Moreirense
Elmusrati (48'), Horta (72' pen.)
Tormena (23'), Horta (68'), Elmusrati (90+3')

Pacheco (35')
Aug 20, 2021 9.15pm
Moreirense
2-3
Braga
Vitoria (80' pen.), Paulinho (83')
Ismael Valente Ramos (16'), Jorge (52'), Rosic (90+6'), Lacerda (90+8')
Martins (39'), Medeiros (41'), Horta (90+5')
Oliveira (54'), Horta (90+8')
May 14, 2021 9.15pm
Braga
2-1
Moreirense
Ruiz (41'), Novais (90+5' pen.)
Fransergio (36'), Elmusrati (58')
Martins (87')
Ferraresi (30'), Franco (32'), Pires (79'), Simao (90+2')
Feb 1, 2021 7.45pm
Moreirense
0-4
Braga

Yan (86'), Vitoria (89')
Fransergio (6'), Castro (17'), Silva (22'), Horta (87')
Fransergio (41')
Jan 29, 2020 8.15pm
Moreirense
1-2
Braga
Rosic (71')
Rosic (17'), Soares (56'), Henrique (90')
Trincao (8'), Fonte (10')
Luis (51'), Eduardo (57'), Carmo (71')
Novais (98')
rhs 2.0
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