Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
24.95% (![]() | 24.89% (![]() | 50.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% (![]() | 50.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% (![]() | 72.24% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% (![]() | 34.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.47% (![]() | 71.52% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% (![]() | 20.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.71% (![]() | 52.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 7.37% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.95% | 1-1 @ 11.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 11.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |