Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Trofense had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Trofense win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Trofense	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
25.06% ( 2.25)	26.47% ( 0.71)	48.47% ( -2.96)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.69% (

-0.8)

56.3% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66% (

-0.65)

77.34% (

0.65)

Trofense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62% (

1.64)

37.99% (

-1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

1.55)

74.76% (

-1.56)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-1.65)

23.28% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

-2.46)

57.2% (

2.46)

Score Analysis

Trofense 25.06%

Pacos de Ferreira 48.47%

Draw 26.47%

Trofense	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.06%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.64) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.47%