Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos
Felgueiras 19321 - 3Arouca
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Felgueiras 1932 and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Felgueiras 1932 had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Felgueiras 1932 win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Felgueiras 1932 | Draw | Arouca |
31.89% ( -0.29) | 25.22% ( 0.03) | 42.89% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
