Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos

Felgueiras 1932
1 - 3
Arouca

Ca (66')
Silva (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Trezza (48'), Kouassi (90+2'), Mujica (90+7' pen.)
Trezza (3'), Montero (11'), Weverson (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Felgueiras 1932 and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Felgueiras 1932 had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Felgueiras 1932 win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
Felgueiras 1932	Draw	Arouca
31.89% ( -0.29)	25.22% ( 0.03)	42.89% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 55.85% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

-0.21)

47.65% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

-0.19)

69.85% (

0.2)

Felgueiras 1932 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.29)

28.24% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.37)

63.95% (

0.37)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

0.04)

22.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

0.05)

55.57% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Felgueiras 1932 31.89%

Arouca 42.89%

Draw 25.22%

Felgueiras 1932	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.89%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.89%