Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Chaves |
37.98% (![]() | 26.68% (![]() | 35.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.87% (![]() | 53.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.29% (![]() | 74.7% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% (![]() | 27.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% (![]() | 62.59% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% (![]() | 28.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.41% (![]() | 64.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.18% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.98% | 1-1 @ 12.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |