Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
1 - 1
Arouca

Evanilson (90+19')
Cardoso (26'), Evanilson (57'), Varela (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cristo (84')
De Arruabarrena (63'), Montero (85'), Ramos (90+18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense
Saturday, August 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto were pushed to the limit by Rio Ave on Monday and should expect another stern test against a well-drilled Arouca side. However, Conceicao's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them extending their winning streak against the Arouquenses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Arouca
75.67% ( -0.62)	15.68% ( 0.37)	8.65% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 45.16% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.87% (

-0.91)

40.13% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5% (

-0.95)

62.49% (

0.95)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.06% (

-0.36)

8.94% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.47% (

-0.88)

30.53% (

0.88)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.6% (

-0.06)

50.4% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.06% (

-0.04)

84.94% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Porto 75.66%

Arouca 8.65%

Draw 15.68%

Porto	Draw	Arouca
2-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 75.66%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.68%	0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 8.65%