Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto1 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, August 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense
Saturday, August 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 2-0 Arouca
Porto were pushed to the limit by Rio Ave on Monday and should expect another stern test against a well-drilled Arouca side. However, Conceicao's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them extending their winning streak against the Arouquenses. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
75.67% ( -0.62) | 15.68% ( 0.37) | 8.65% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.16% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.91) | 40.13% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( -0.95) | 62.49% ( 0.95) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.06% ( -0.36) | 8.94% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.47% ( -0.88) | 30.53% ( 0.88) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.6% ( -0.06) | 50.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.06% ( -0.04) | 84.94% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 75.66%
Arouca 8.65%
Draw 15.68%
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.67% Total : 75.66% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.68% | 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.95% Total : 8.65% |
How you voted: Porto vs Arouca
Porto
90.0%Draw
10.0%Arouca
0.0%20
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
