MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:08:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Casa Pia

Arouca
0 - 1
Casa Pia


Cristo (44'), Montero (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cardoso (90+1')
Fernandes (11'), Mukendi (83'), Cardoso (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Casa Pia

Armed with confidence from their positive start, which culminated in the impressive draw against Porto, and on the back of a break from competitive action, we back Arouca to take all three points on Sunday with home advantage on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
39.33% (-0.297 -0.3) 27.61% (0.325 0.33) 33.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.976 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-1.232 -1.23)57.04% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (-0.991 -0.99)77.93% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-0.753 -0.75)28.27% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (-0.961 -0.96)63.99% (0.959 0.96)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.645 -0.64)32.18% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.738 -0.74)68.66% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 39.33%
    Casa Pia 33.05%
    Draw 27.61%
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.05%

How you voted: Arouca vs Casa Pia

Arouca
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Casa Pia
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arouca
2-0
Casa Pia
Mujica (81', 90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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