Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente1 - 4Arouca
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Portimonense
Friday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
| 43.82% | 25.66% | 30.53% |
| Both teams to score 53.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
