Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.81% (![]() | 25.9% (![]() | 23.29% |
Both teams to score 47.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% (![]() | 55.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% (![]() | 76.74% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% | 21.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.8% (![]() | 55.2% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.8% (![]() | 39.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.08% (![]() | 75.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |