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Santa Clara
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 29, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Porto

Santa Clara
1 - 2
Porto

Martins (27')
Lopes (22'), Klismahn (64'), Ferreira (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Evanilson (52'), Galeno (61')
Pepe (8'), Galeno (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Santa Clara and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Nacional (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, January 11 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Santa Clara 1-3 Porto

Santa Clara have punched above their weight in the cup so far, but going head-to-head against Porto represents a tough ask regardless. We are tipping the visitors to come out on top in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawPorto
24.05% (3.965 3.97) 26.58% (0.794 0.79) 49.36% (-4.761 -4.76)
Both teams to score 46.35% (2.446 2.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.58% (0.766 0.77)57.42% (-0.768 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.77% (0.604 0.6)78.23% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47% (4.47 4.47)39.53% (-4.473 -4.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78% (3.905 3.91)76.21% (-3.908 -3.91)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-1.753 -1.75)23.35% (1.752 1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (-2.617 -2.62)57.31% (2.615 2.62)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 24.05%
    Porto 49.36%
    Draw 26.58%
Santa ClaraDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.764 0.76)
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.875 0.88)
2-0 @ 3.98% (0.773 0.77)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.446 0.45)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.272 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.354 0.35)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 24.05%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.445 0.45)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 13.42% (-1.14 -1.14)
0-2 @ 9.76% (-1.396 -1.4)
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.74% (-0.967 -0.97)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.118 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.463 -0.46)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 49.36%

How you voted: Santa Clara vs Porto

Santa Clara
14.9%
Draw
4.5%
Porto
80.6%
67
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Porto
2-1
Santa Clara
Uribe (34' pen.), Loader (80')
Tagawa (90+2')
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Apr 4, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Porto
3-0
Santa Clara
Vieira (38', 41'), Sanusi (84')
Nov 7, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 11
Santa Clara
0-3
Porto

Allano (40'), Mansur (60')
Allano (63')
Oliveira (42'), Diaz (46', 77')
Sanusi (45+1'), Evanilson (90+3')
Oct 26, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Santa Clara
3-1
Porto
Chindris (17'), Ricardinho (65'), Nene (90+6')
Sagna (12'), Fernandes (51'), Nene (57'), Mohebi (69'), Patric (90'), Allano (90+4'), Afonso (90+4')
Taremi (83')
Vieira (72'), Otavio (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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