Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 4-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
87.75% ( 0.14) | 8.69% ( -0.01) | 3.56% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 40.77% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.46% ( -0.82) | 27.54% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.83% ( -1.04) | 48.17% ( 1.04) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( -0.11) | 4.05% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.97% ( -0.36) | 17.03% ( 0.36) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.49% ( -1.3) | 57.51% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.67% ( -0.74) | 89.33% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
3-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 7-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.04% Total : 87.74% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 8.69% | 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 3.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |