Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
21.06% ( 0.03) | 22.82% ( 0) | 56.12% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% ( 0.03) | 45.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% ( 0.03) | 67.9% ( -0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.26% ( 0.05) | 35.73% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.49% ( 0.05) | 72.51% ( -0.05) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% ( -0) | 16.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% ( -0) | 45.42% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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