Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 27, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im. Yuriya Haharina
Desna3 - 1Rukh Vynnyky
Totovytsky (13' pen.), Degtyarev (45'), Budkivskyi (71')
Mostovyi (9'), Ermakov (45+1'), Budkivskyi (77'), Konoplia (87')
Mostovyi (9'), Ermakov (45+1'), Budkivskyi (77'), Konoplia (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Klymchuk (30')
Kukharuk (2'), Gliha (12'), Kukharevych (26'), Mysyk (70')
Kukharuk (2'), Gliha (12'), Kukharevych (26'), Mysyk (70')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Rukh Lviv.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Rukh Vynnyky had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Rukh Vynnyky win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 37.7% | 25.79% | 36.51% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
