Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Danubio	Draw	La Luz
43.54% ( -0.83)	29.05% ( -0.01)	27.41% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 42.47% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.33% (

0.4)

63.67% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.05% (

0.28)

82.95% (

-0.28)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.25)

29.13% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

-0.31)

65.06% (

0.31)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.93% (

0.95)

40.06% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29% (

0.86)

76.71% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Danubio 43.53%

La Luz 27.4%

Draw 29.04%

Danubio	Draw	La Luz
1-0 @ 14.39% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.53%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.04%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.4%