Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.