

Wanderers1 - 0Cerro Largo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
40.86% | 27.48% | 31.66% |
Both teams to score 48.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.13% | 56.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.21% | 77.79% |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% | 27.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.21% | 62.79% |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% | 33.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% | 69.64% |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.66% |
Acosta (21'), Quintana (69'), Heredia (85')
Quintana (72')
Muller (3'), Couto (18'), Araujo (27'), Barboza (58'), Macaluso (83')
Fernandez (26'), MacEachen (58'), Aguerre (77'), Rodriguez (79'), Dorrego (86'), Dos Santos (89'), Leites (94')
Heredia (51')