Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol2 - 0Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Cerro |
49.76% ( 0.18) | 27.51% ( -0.15) | 22.73% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 42.65% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.48% ( 0.46) | 61.52% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.62% ( 0.34) | 81.38% ( -0.33) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( 0.29) | 24.97% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.39% ( 0.4) | 59.61% ( -0.39) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.85% ( 0.24) | 43.16% ( -0.24) |