MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 21:17:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
3 - 0
Progreso

Cadenazzi (7'), Spinelli (49'), Mansilla (83')
Montoya (6'), De Los Santos (45'), Alvarez (56'), Cadenazzi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lemmo (35'), Castillo (73'), Gomez (84'), Joaquin Martin Colman (86')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, November 10 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Wanderers
Sunday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
56.26% (0.252 0.25) 24.77% (0.14 0.14) 18.97% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.974 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.97000000000001 -0.97)55.89% (0.971 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.796 -0.8)77% (0.795 0.8)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.277 -0.28)19.81% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.451 -0.45)51.89% (0.451 0.45)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.07% (-1.019 -1.02)43.93% (1.018 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.93% (-0.848 -0.85)80.07% (0.84699999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 56.25%
    Progreso 18.97%
    Draw 24.77%
Defensor SportingDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.25%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.321 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.97%

Head to Head
Jun 16, 2024 12am
Gameweek 2
Defensor
1-1
Progreso
Duarte (73')
Barco (38'), Giampaoli (51'), Duarte (85')
Lopez (44')
Colombino (6'), Lopez (69'), Poiso (80'), Canobbio (82'), Andrada (90'), Silva (90+2')
Silva (90+2'), Silva (90+4')
May 12, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 12
Progreso
1-4
Defensor
Lopez (83' pen.)
Andrada (9'), Poiso (33'), Rivero (67'), Suarez (82')
Giampaoli (32'), Bernal (53'), Rivero (57'), Agazzi (90+6')
Giampaoli (40'), Mansilla (65'), Soria (65'), Pacifico (79'), Lopez (79')
Feb 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
3-3
Defensor
Silva (7', 87'), Fernandez (29')
Loffreda (35'), Laens (90+4')
Mallo (13'), Coelho (49', 82')
(8'), Rocha (27')
Rocha (60')
Aug 19, 2020 9.30pm
Gameweek 6
Defensor
2-1
Progreso
Coelho (77'), Lamas (81')
Zeballos (36')
Silva (66')
Gonzalez (64'), Silva (80'), Platero (90+3')
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
Defensor
2-4
Progreso
Laquintana (5'), Rodriguez (66')
Gomez (36')
Gonzalez (45')
Gonzalez (72' og.), Alles (73'), Gonzalez (79' pen.), Viega (95')
Gularte (25')
Gularte (49')
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