Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.