MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:48:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 3
New Saints

Cadwallader (3')
Hogan (30'), Bradford (45+2'), Owen (45+2'), H (56'), Taylor (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (45+7'), Young (57' pen.), Darlington (76' og.)
Young (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-3 Bala Town
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Arbroath
Saturday, November 18 at 2.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.81%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 3.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 0-4 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
3.51% (-0.1861 -0.19) 8.67% (-0.367 -0.37) 87.81% (0.55 0.55)
Both teams to score 40.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.27% (0.959 0.96)27.72% (-0.962 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.6% (1.191 1.19)48.4% (-1.194 -1.19)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.12% (-0.104 -0.1)57.87% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.47% (-0.058 -0.06)89.53% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.93% (0.246 0.25)4.07% (-0.2479 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.9% (0.78399999999999 0.78)17.09% (-0.787 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 3.51%
    The New Saints 87.8%
    Draw 8.67%
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 1.29% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 1.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 3.51%
1-1 @ 4.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.35% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 1.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 8.67%
0-3 @ 12.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 12.06% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-4 @ 10.31% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.298 -0.3)
1-3 @ 7.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 6.6% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 5.64% (0.079 0.08)
1-5 @ 3.61% (0.116 0.12)
0-6 @ 3.53% (0.187 0.19)
1-6 @ 1.93% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.61% (0.113 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
2-5 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 87.8%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
New Saints
6-0
Aberystwyth
Canavan (11', 75'), Clark (43'), Cieslewicz (66' pen.), Holden (89'), Astles (90+4')

Cornish (21')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
11-0
Aberystwyth
Davies (13', 37'), Dafydd (89', 65'), Williams (89'), Wilson (40'), Smith (45+1'), Cieslewicz (55', 60'), Brobbel (66'), Clark (80')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-2
New Saints

Flint (33'), Horwood (76')
Clark (49'), McManus (79')
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
1-0
New Saints
Owen (85')
Jones (36'), Evans (58')

Clark (62'), (85'), Marriott (89')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
3-0
Aberystwyth
McManus (7' pen., 43'), Astles (64')
Routledge (33'), Davies (62'), Williams (74'), Harrison (83')

Davies (66'), Evans (79'), Franklin (82'), Veale (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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