MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 11:44:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
New Saints


Gabriel Robles (18'), Hughes (36'), Smith (65'), Evans (70'), Sutton (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Daniels (61'), Clark (90+3')
Hudson (2'), Williams (45+3'), Daniels (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 6-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
11.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07) 16.74% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 71.96% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (0.228 0.23)36.76% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08% (0.249 0.25)58.93% (-0.244 -0.24)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)42.85% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.032 0.03)79.16% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.04% (0.094000000000008 0.09)8.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (0.224 0.22)30.58% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 11.3%
    The New Saints 71.96%
    Draw 16.74%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13%
3-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 11.3%
1-1 @ 7.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.74%
0-2 @ 11.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 8.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 5.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.59% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.61% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.95% (0.015 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 71.96%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
0-5
New Saints
McManus (6', 44', 57'), Cieslewicz (68'), Dafydd (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Newtown
Astles (45')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Newtown
McManus (9' pen.), Davies (25'), Daniels (29'), Cieslewicz (81')
Robles (36')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
0-0
New Saints
Williams (40'), Ismail (50')
Ismail (61')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Roberts (48'), Walker (76'), Ismail (87')
Brobbel (64'), Canavan (90+2')
Williams (84')
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