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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
6 - 0
Aberystwyth

Canavan (11', 75'), Clark (43'), Cieslewicz (66' pen.), Holden (89'), Astles (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cornish (21')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 New Saints
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.41%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 4.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
87.41% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04) 8.44% (0.016 0.02) 4.16% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.53% (0.090000000000003 0.09)21.47% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.84% (0.124 0.12)40.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.85% (0.012 0.01)3.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.95% (0.028999999999996 0.03)14.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.84% (0.201 0.2)49.16% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.93% (0.141 0.14)84.07% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 87.41%
    Aberystwyth Town 4.16%
    Draw 8.44%
The New SaintsDrawAberystwyth Town
3-0 @ 10.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 9.22% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 6.55% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 6.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 4.53% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.019 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.018 0.02)
7-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
7-1 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
6-2 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 87.41%
1-1 @ 3.81%
2-2 @ 2.34% (0.015 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 8.44%
1-2 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 4.16%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
New Saints
11-0
Aberystwyth
Davies (13', 37'), Dafydd (89', 65'), Williams (89'), Wilson (40'), Smith (45+1'), Cieslewicz (55', 60'), Brobbel (66'), Clark (80')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-2
New Saints

Flint (33'), Horwood (76')
Clark (49'), McManus (79')
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
1-0
New Saints
Owen (85')
Jones (36'), Evans (58')

Clark (62'), (85'), Marriott (89')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
New Saints
3-0
Aberystwyth
McManus (7' pen., 43'), Astles (64')
Routledge (33'), Davies (62'), Williams (74'), Harrison (83')

Davies (66'), Evans (79'), Franklin (82'), Veale (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
New Saints
4-1
Aberystwyth
Ebbe (4'), Draper (64', 84', 89')
Cieslewicz (30'), Holland (67')
Hewitt (34')
Evans (25'), J (55'), Davies (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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