Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Pen-y-Bont1 - 4New Saints
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 30 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | The New Saints |
19.29% ( 0) | 23.23% ( 0.03) | 57.49% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
