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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 20, 2021 at 2.45pm UK
 

Bala Town
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
53.17%22.27%24.56%
Both teams to score 60.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9%39.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57%61.43%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22%14.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.95%43.05%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93%29.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02%64.98%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 53.17%
    Caernarfon Town 24.57%
    Draw 22.27%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 6.18%
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 2.96%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 24.57%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Edwards (20')
(7'), Williams (57')
Venables (45+1' pen.)
Kay (16'), Pryce (79'), Ramsey (90')
Mar 20, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
1-2
Bala Town
Edwards (33')
(15'), (23'), (87')
Venables (67', 81')
Leslie (28'), (37'), (48'), (89'), (90')
Dec 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Jones (9'), Venables (50'), Spittle (80')
Jones (19'), Robles (82')

Clark (59'), Brookwell (64')
Smith (81')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
1-2
Bala Town
Breese (82')
Clark (16'), Craig (65')
Venables (57', 89')
Smith (20'), Stephens (64'), Venables (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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