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Welsh Premier League
May 7, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 0
Cardiff MU

Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chubb (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, May 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
24.2%23.88%51.92%
Both teams to score 54.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28%46.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01%68.99%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51%33.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87%70.13%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01%17.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16%48.84%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 24.2%
    Cardiff MU 51.92%
    Draw 23.87%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 6.59%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 3.6%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.93%
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.2%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-2 @ 8.87%
1-3 @ 5.55%
0-3 @ 5.07%
2-3 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.92%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon

Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
Thomas (23')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')

Evans (45')
Mar 27, 2021 2.45pm
Caernarfon
3-2
Cardiff MU
Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
rhs 2.0
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