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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Cardiff MU

Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, May 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
60.22%23.61%16.17%
Both teams to score 43.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51%55.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33%76.67%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84%18.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86%49.14%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.82%47.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.38%82.62%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 60.21%
    Cardiff MU 16.17%
    Draw 23.61%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 14.61%
2-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 5.33%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 60.21%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 8.57%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 4.12%
0-2 @ 2.42%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.17%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon

Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-1
Caernarfon

Craven (15'), Roscrow (53')
Thomas (23')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')

Evans (45')
Mar 27, 2021 2.45pm
Caernarfon
3-2
Cardiff MU
Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
Oct 3, 2020 5.15pm
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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