MX23RW : Friday, January 24 06:44:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 27, 2021 at 2.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 2
Cardiff MU

Kenny (12'), Hayes (55' pen.), Bickerstaff (81')
Edwards (28'), Edwards (34'), Williams (81'), Williams (90+4')
Edwards (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Owen (61'), Evans (90+4' pen.)
Lewis (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
49.44%23.44%27.12%
Both teams to score 58.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7%42.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29%64.71%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74%17.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42%47.58%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32%64.68%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 49.44%
    Cardiff MU 27.12%
    Draw 23.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.44%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 27.12%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-0
Caernarfon
Lam (30'), Evans (90')
Evans (39'), Lam (66')

Brookwell (39'), Evans (78')
Gruffydd (61')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Jones (28'), Craig (76')
Lam (62')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Caernarfon
2-3
Cardiff MU
Thomas (19'), Craig (92')
Craig (94')
Baker (36'), Roscrow (68'), McCarthy (82')
McCarthy (45'), Lewis (55'), Baker (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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