Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newtown AFC | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 Flint Town
Saturday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Airbus UK Broughton | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
23.8% ( -0.22) | 22.82% ( -0.14) | 53.37% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
