Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3

Feb 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 8
New Saints

Bradley (7')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

The New Saints

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 New Saints
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.67%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 0-4 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	The New Saints
5.31% ( -1.13)	10.01% ( -1.14)	84.67% ( 2.26)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

-2.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.76% (

0.87)

24.24% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.08% (

1.15)

43.92% (

-1.15)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.62% (

-2.71)

47.38% (

2.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.23% (

-2.1)

82.77% (

2.1)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.02% (

0.49)

3.98% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.19% (

1.56)

16.81% (

-1.56)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 5.31%

The New Saints 84.67%

Draw 10.01%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	The New Saints
2-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.21% Total : 5.31%	1-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.85% Total : 10.01%	0-3 @ 10.53% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 8.49% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 7.87% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.45) 1-4 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 5.47% ( 0.65) 1-5 @ 4.09% ( 0.2) 0-6 @ 2.94% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.15) 1-6 @ 2.2% ( 0.18) 2-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 0-7 @ 1.35% ( 0.25) 1-7 @ 1.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 4.35% Total : 84.67%