MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 20:38:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 4
New Saints


Disney (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pask (7'), Brobbel (22'), Young (28', 56')
Marriott (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
30.15% (0.354 0.35) 23.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 46.18% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Both teams to score 60.35% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64% (0.426 0.43)41.36% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.24% (0.42899999999999 0.43)63.75% (-0.431 -0.43)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.444 0.44)26.26% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.59 0.59)61.37% (-0.59 -0.59)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.045000000000002 0.05)18.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (0.077999999999996 0.08)49.14% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 30.15%
    The New Saints 46.18%
    Draw 23.66%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.15%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 46.18%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
6-2
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Connah's Quay
Daniels (34', 70'), McManus (58', 88')
Harrington (90+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
0-0
New Saints
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Connah's Quay
1-1
New Saints
Horan (50')
Dafydd (90+5')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')
Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest23127432131943
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2371153024632
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2375113328526
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2372142948-1923
4Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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