MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 03:59:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 2
Caernarfon

Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 8-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Sunday, December 31 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 59.27%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.72% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
59.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 20% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.72% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.43% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.12% (0.079000000000008 0.08)32.87% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.42% (0.090999999999994 0.09)54.58% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04% (0.01400000000001 0.01)10.95% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)35.17% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.76% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.097999999999999 0.1)64.61% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 59.27%
    Caernarfon Town 20.72%
    Draw 20%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.08%
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.41% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 59.27%
1-1 @ 8.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20%
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 20.72%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Cardiff MU
Hayes (45+1')
Donohue (63'), Thomas (72')

Chubb (78')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mendes (31'), Harrison (67')

Craven (43'), Roscrow (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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