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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Colwyn Bay

Williams (61'), Clarke (73')
Gosset (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McCready (81')
McCready (33')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
46.67% (0.34399999999999 0.34) 22.04% (0.023 0.02) 31.29% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 67.05% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (-0.3 -0.3)32.84% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.46% (-0.346 -0.35)54.54% (0.349 0.35)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (0.012 0.01)42.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)21.39% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (-0.537 -0.54)54.38% (0.541 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 46.67%
    Colwyn Bay 31.29%
    Draw 22.04%
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.029 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 31.29%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Colwyn Bay
0-4
Caernarfon

Sirrell (29')
Thomas (36'), Davies (61', 71'), Clarke (66')
Gosset (7'), Donohue (32'), Thomas (39'), Mooney (45+2'), Bradley (57'), Lloyd (89'), Lloyd (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
8pm
Washington
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Bills
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest23127432131943
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2371153024632
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2375113328526
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2372142948-1923
4Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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