MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:37:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Colwyn Bay

Williams (61'), Clarke (73')
Gosset (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McCready (81')
McCready (33')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
46.67% (0.34399999999999 0.34) 22.04% (0.023 0.02) 31.29% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 67.05% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (-0.3 -0.3)32.84% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.46% (-0.346 -0.35)54.54% (0.349 0.35)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (0.012 0.01)42.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)21.39% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (-0.537 -0.54)54.38% (0.541 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 46.67%
    Colwyn Bay 31.29%
    Draw 22.04%
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.029 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 31.29%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Colwyn Bay
0-4
Caernarfon

Sirrell (29')
Thomas (36'), Davies (61', 71'), Clarke (66')
Gosset (7'), Donohue (32'), Thomas (39'), Mooney (45+2'), Bradley (57'), Lloyd (89'), Lloyd (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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