MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:46:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
New Saints


Hughes (43'), Bell (43'), Edwards (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McManus (72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Caernarfon
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-8 New Saints
Saturday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.81%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 0-4 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.28%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
4.09% (-0.061 -0.06) 9.1% (0.1091 0.11) 86.81% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.24% (-1.32 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.73% (-1.134 -1.13)26.27% (1.135 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.44% (-1.465 -1.47)46.56% (1.464 1.46)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.08% (-1.28 -1.28)53.92% (1.279 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.78% (-0.807 -0.81)87.22% (0.807 0.81)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.01% (-0.191 -0.19)3.99% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.15% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)16.85% (0.619 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 4.09%
    The New Saints 86.8%
    Draw 9.1%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 1.33% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 1.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 4.09%
1-1 @ 4.28% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.15% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.1%
0-3 @ 11.98% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 11.16% (0.47 0.47)
0-4 @ 9.65% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 7.4% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.389 0.39)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 6.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-5 @ 3.84% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-6 @ 3.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-6 @ 2.06% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-7 @ 1.54% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-7 @ 0.95% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 86.8%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
3-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')

Edwards (29')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
New Saints
5-3
Caernarfon
Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')
Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
New Saints
0-0
Caernarfon

Mullan (41'), Routledge (45+3'), Robles (66'), Redmond (89')

Thomas (43'), Kenny (78'), Mendes (82'), Brass (90+1'), (90+1')
Gruffydd (77'), Kenny (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!