MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 01:53:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
New Saints


Hughes (43'), Bell (43'), Edwards (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McManus (72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Caernarfon
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-8 New Saints
Saturday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.81%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 0-4 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.28%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
4.09% (-0.061 -0.06) 9.1% (0.1091 0.11) 86.81% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.24% (-1.32 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.73% (-1.134 -1.13)26.27% (1.135 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.44% (-1.465 -1.47)46.56% (1.464 1.46)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.08% (-1.28 -1.28)53.92% (1.279 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.78% (-0.807 -0.81)87.22% (0.807 0.81)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.01% (-0.191 -0.19)3.99% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.15% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)16.85% (0.619 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 4.09%
    The New Saints 86.8%
    Draw 9.1%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 1.33% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 1.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 4.09%
1-1 @ 4.28% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.15% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 9.1%
0-3 @ 11.98% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 11.16% (0.47 0.47)
0-4 @ 9.65% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 7.4% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.389 0.39)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 6.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.96% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-5 @ 3.84% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-6 @ 3.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-6 @ 2.06% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-7 @ 1.54% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-7 @ 0.95% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 86.8%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
3-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')

Edwards (29')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
New Saints
5-3
Caernarfon
Davies (6'), McManus (24'), Bradford (30'), Hudson (75'), Baker (90+4')
Redmond (64'), McManus (67'), Routledge (88')
Gosset (19'), Thomas (68'), G (86')
Donohue (24'), Thomas (60'), Cartwright (63')
Apr 27, 2021 7.45pm
New Saints
0-0
Caernarfon

Mullan (41'), Routledge (45+3'), Robles (66'), Redmond (89')

Thomas (43'), Kenny (78'), Mendes (82'), Brass (90+1'), (90+1')
Gruffydd (77'), Kenny (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints27220576284866
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon27125104444041
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2711794246-440
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay271051239291035
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2793153754-1730
4Briton Ferry2774164257-1525
5Newtown AFCNewtown2767143052-2225
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2752202263-4117
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!