MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 15:40:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

Evans (10', 54')
Jones (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dugan (23')
Dugan (47'), Edwards (67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
12.84% (-0.148 -0.15) 16.67% (-0.084 -0.08) 70.49% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.04% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)53.62% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-0.197 -0.2)37.18% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.194 -0.19)73.97% (0.193 0.19)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (0.057000000000002 0.06)8.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.53% (0.143 0.14)28.47% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 12.84%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 70.49%
    Draw 16.67%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 3.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 2.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 12.84%
1-1 @ 7.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.67%
0-2 @ 9.51% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.97% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.01% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-4 @ 4.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.52% (0.031 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.49% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-5 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
0-6 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
1-6 @ 1.04% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 70.49%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-3
Connah's Quay

McCarthy (49'), Evans (77'), Kabongo (80')
Williams (31'), Davies (45+2'), Wilde (86')
Williams (83')
Feb 24, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (33'), Price (48' og.)
Kenny (68'), Davies (81')
Rees (74')
McCarthy (57'), Evans (76'), Craven (84')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Cardiff MU
3-1
Connah's Quay
Evans (24'), Jones (31'), Craven (77')
Owen (28'), Craven (88'), Evans (90+2')
Price (42')
Bratley (87')
Franklin (63'), Disney (89')
Franklin (79')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
4-0
Cardiff MU
Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')

Samson (90+1')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-2
Connah's Quay
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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