MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:46:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
3 - 1
Connah's Quay

Evans (24'), Jones (31'), Craven (77')
Owen (28'), Craven (88'), Evans (90+2')
Price (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bratley (87')
Franklin (63'), Disney (89')
Franklin (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 1-3 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 6-1 Caernarfon
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
20.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 24.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 55.32% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (0.087000000000003 0.09)51.63% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (0.076999999999998 0.08)73.42% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.047000000000004 0.05)39.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)76.39% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (0.043000000000006 0.04)18.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (0.073 0.07)49.79% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 20.54%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.32%
    Draw 24.12%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 20.54%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 12.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.87% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 55.32%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
4-0
Cardiff MU
Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')

Samson (90+1')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-2
Connah's Quay
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Rees (88')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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