Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Cardiff MU0 - 2Connah's Quay
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-3 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
20.65% ( 0.02) | 25.18% ( 0.2) | 54.17% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( -0.7) | 55.45% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( -0.57) | 76.64% ( 0.57) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.19% ( -0.38) | 41.8% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.74% ( -0.33) | 78.26% ( 0.33) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -0.36) | 20.47% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.05% ( -0.58) | 52.94% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU 20.65%
Connah's Quay Nomads 54.16%
Draw 25.17%
Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.65% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 13.57% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.76% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.16% |
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Bratley (40')
Bratley (40')
Rees (88')
Rees (13'), Clubb (30'), Lewis (77')
Rees (13'), Clubb (30'), Lewis (77')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Horan (28')
Horan (28')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
2-0
Connah's Quay
Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')
Lewis (17')
Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-0
Cardiff MU
Lang (90+2'), Roscrow (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-18 06:40:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 61 | 26 | 35 | 51 |
2 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 16 | 26 | 50 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 40 |
4 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 32 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 21 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 20 |
11 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 19 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 53 | -35 | 14 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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