MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 11:47:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 1
Cardiff MU

Lock (27'), Hughes (75')
Lock (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reynolds (90+2')
Veale (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
43.31% (0.713 0.71) 23.88% (0.305 0.31) 32.81% (-1.014 -1.01)
Both teams to score 60.92% (-1.486 -1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-1.793 -1.79)41.18% (1.797 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-1.848 -1.85)63.57% (1.854 1.85)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.429 -0.43)19.28% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.98% (-0.714 -0.71)51.01% (0.718 0.72)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-1.427 -1.43)24.53% (1.432 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (-2.052 -2.05)59.01% (2.055 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 43.31%
    Cardiff MU 32.81%
    Draw 23.88%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.52 0.52)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.345 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.376 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.81%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
1-3
Newtown
Jones (70')
Cadwallader (19'), Jones (90+4')
Smith (14'), Williams (20'), Roberts (52')
Sutton (90')
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-0
Cardiff MU
Mwandwe (49'), Smith (74')
Robles (15'), Mwandwe (35'), Evans (79')

Clubb (14'), Skiverton (31'), Cadwallader (42')
Oct 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Clubb (50'), H (90+1')
Craven (22')
Williams (53')
Sears (43'), Smith (45+2'), Roberts (89'), Hughes (90+7')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Cardiff MU
Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
1-2
Cardiff MU
Jones (49')
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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