MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 11:26:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Connah's Quay


McCarthy (49'), Evans (77'), Kabongo (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (31'), Davies (45+2'), Wilde (86')
Williams (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
15.28% (-0.108 -0.11) 18.88% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 65.85% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.82% (-0.113 -0.11)37.19% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.61% (-0.123 -0.12)59.39% (0.121 0.12)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)37.21% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.204 -0.2)74% (0.203 0.2)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46%10.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.75% (0.0020000000000095 0)34.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 15.28%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 65.85%
    Draw 18.88%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.88%
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.28%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
0-2 @ 9.93% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 7.45% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.36%
0-4 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.86%
2-5 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.85%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (33'), Price (48' og.)
Kenny (68'), Davies (81')
Rees (74')
McCarthy (57'), Evans (76'), Craven (84')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Cardiff MU
3-1
Connah's Quay
Evans (24'), Jones (31'), Craven (77')
Owen (28'), Craven (88'), Evans (90+2')
Price (42')
Bratley (87')
Franklin (63'), Disney (89')
Franklin (79')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
4-0
Cardiff MU
Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')

Samson (90+1')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
0-2
Connah's Quay
Williams (32'), Mendes (45+3')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (35'), Harrington (90+1')
Rees (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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