Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Apr 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 6Connah's Quay
Bickerstaff (24')
Edwards (31')
Edwards (31')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 18.21% | 21.47% | 60.32% |
| Both teams to score 53.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
