Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown4 - 1Aberystwyth
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, May 11 at 12.20pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 11 at 12.20pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-0 Pontypridd
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
47.23% ( 0.13) | 24.18% ( -0.4) | 28.59% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
