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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
6 - 1
Aberystwyth

Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Evans (80')
Rimmer (51'), Darlington (65'), Lewis (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
68% (0.318 0.32) 18.25% (-0.164 -0.16) 13.75% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.428 0.43)37.61% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.458 0.46)59.84% (-0.459 -0.46)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (0.19499999999999 0.19)10.12% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.7% (0.446 0.45)33.3% (-0.448 -0.45)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (0.056000000000004 0.06)39.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76% (0.053999999999998 0.05)76.23% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 68%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.75%
    Draw 18.25%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.02% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.26% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.75%

How you voted: Newtown vs Aberystwyth

Newtown AFC
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Aberystwyth Town
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Davies (60')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
Ofori (74'), Evans (90+3')
Fletcher (44'), Edwards (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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