Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown6 - 1Aberystwyth
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
68% ( 0.32) | 18.25% ( -0.16) | 13.75% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( 0.43) | 37.61% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.16% ( 0.46) | 59.84% ( -0.46) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.88% ( 0.19) | 10.12% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.7% ( 0.45) | 33.3% ( -0.45) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.45% ( 0.06) | 39.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.76% ( 0.05) | 76.23% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 68%
Aberystwyth Town 13.75%
Draw 18.25%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
2-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.9% Total : 68% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.25% | 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.75% |
How you voted: Newtown vs Aberystwyth
Newtown AFC
85.7%Draw
14.3%Aberystwyth Town
0.0%7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
(77')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth
Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
Franklin (27')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-02 17:38:50
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Bala TownBala Town | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
5 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 15 |
6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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