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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
6 - 1
Aberystwyth

Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Evans (80')
Rimmer (51'), Darlington (65'), Lewis (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Newtown
Monday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
68% (0.318 0.32) 18.25% (-0.164 -0.16) 13.75% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.428 0.43)37.61% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.458 0.46)59.84% (-0.459 -0.46)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (0.19499999999999 0.19)10.12% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.7% (0.446 0.45)33.3% (-0.448 -0.45)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (0.056000000000004 0.06)39.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76% (0.053999999999998 0.05)76.23% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 68%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.75%
    Draw 18.25%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.02% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.26% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.75%

How you voted: Newtown vs Aberystwyth

Newtown AFC
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Aberystwyth Town
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Davies (60')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
Ofori (74'), Evans (90+3')
Fletcher (44'), Edwards (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints28230578285069
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon28125114446-241
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2812794447-343
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay281151243291438
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2893163758-2130
4Briton Ferry2875164358-1526
5Newtown AFCNewtown2868143153-2226
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2852212365-4217
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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