Welsh Premier League
May 11, 2024 at 12.20pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown0 - 5Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Haverfordwest
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
46
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
23.28% ( -0.11) | 23.07% ( 0.11) | 53.64% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.86% ( -0.61) | 44.13% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.48% ( -0.6) | 66.51% ( 0.6) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.44) | 32.87% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.55% ( -0.49) | 69.44% ( 0.48) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.59% ( -0.22) | 16.4% ( 0.22) |